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bugs-fundamentals
Foundational knowledge for writing BUGS/JAGS models including precision parameterization, declarative syntax, distributions, and R integration. Use when creating or reviewing BUGS/JAGS models.
$ Installer
git clone https://github.com/choxos/BayesianAgent /tmp/BayesianAgent && cp -r /tmp/BayesianAgent/plugins/bayesian-modeling/skills/bugs-fundamentals ~/.claude/skills/BayesianAgent// tip: Run this command in your terminal to install the skill
SKILL.md
name: bugs-fundamentals description: Foundational knowledge for writing BUGS/JAGS models including precision parameterization, declarative syntax, distributions, and R integration. Use when creating or reviewing BUGS/JAGS models.
BUGS/JAGS Fundamentals
When to Use This Skill
- Writing new WinBUGS or JAGS models
- Understanding BUGS declarative syntax
- Converting between BUGS and Stan
- Integrating with R via R2jags or R2WinBUGS
Model Structure
BUGS uses a single declarative block where order doesn't matter:
model {
# Likelihood (order doesn't matter)
for (i in 1:N) {
y[i] ~ dnorm(mu[i], tau)
mu[i] <- alpha + beta * x[i]
}
# Priors
alpha ~ dnorm(0, 0.001)
beta ~ dnorm(0, 0.001)
tau ~ dgamma(0.001, 0.001)
# Derived quantities
sigma <- 1 / sqrt(tau)
}
CRITICAL: Precision Parameterization
BUGS uses PRECISION (tau = 1/variance), NOT standard deviation:
| Distribution | BUGS Syntax | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Normal | dnorm(mu, tau) | tau = 1/sigma² |
| MVN | dmnorm(mu[], Omega[,]) | Omega = inverse(Sigma) |
Converting SD ↔ Precision
# Precision from SD
tau <- pow(sigma, -2)
# SD from precision
sigma <- 1 / sqrt(tau)
Distribution Reference
Continuous (All use precision!)
y ~ dnorm(mu, tau) # Normal: tau = 1/sigma²
y ~ dlnorm(mu, tau) # Log-normal (log-scale)
y ~ dt(mu, tau, df) # Student-t
y ~ dunif(lower, upper) # Uniform
y ~ dgamma(shape, rate) # Gamma
y ~ dbeta(a, b) # Beta
y ~ dexp(lambda) # Exponential (rate)
y ~ dweib(shape, lambda) # Weibull
y ~ ddexp(mu, tau) # Double exponential
Discrete
y ~ dbern(p) # Bernoulli
y ~ dbin(p, n) # Binomial (p first!)
y ~ dpois(lambda) # Poisson
y ~ dnegbin(p, r) # Negative binomial
y ~ dcat(p[]) # Categorical
y ~ dmulti(p[], n) # Multinomial
Multivariate
y[1:K] ~ dmnorm(mu[], Omega[,]) # MVN (precision matrix!)
Omega[1:K,1:K] ~ dwish(R[,], df) # Wishart (for precision)
p[1:K] ~ ddirch(alpha[]) # Dirichlet
Syntax Essentials
Stochastic vs Deterministic
# Stochastic (random variable)
y ~ dnorm(mu, tau)
# Deterministic (function)
mu <- alpha + beta * x
Loops
for (i in 1:N) {
y[i] ~ dnorm(mu[i], tau)
}
Truncation (JAGS)
y ~ dnorm(mu, tau) T(lower, upper)
y ~ dnorm(mu, tau) T(0, ) # Lower only
Logical Functions (JAGS)
ind <- step(y - threshold) # 1 if y >= threshold
eq <- equals(y, 0) # 1 if y == 0
Common Priors
# Vague normal (variance = 1000)
alpha ~ dnorm(0, 0.001)
# Half-Cauchy on SD (via uniform)
sigma ~ dunif(0, 100)
tau <- pow(sigma, -2)
# Vague gamma on precision
tau ~ dgamma(0.001, 0.001)
# Correlation matrix
Omega ~ dwish(I[,], K + 1)
R Integration
R2jags (Recommended)
library(R2jags)
jags.data <- list(N = 100, y = y, x = x)
jags.params <- c("alpha", "beta", "sigma")
jags.inits <- function() {
list(alpha = 0, beta = 0, tau = 1)
}
fit <- jags(
data = jags.data,
inits = jags.inits,
parameters.to.save = jags.params,
model.file = "model.txt",
n.chains = 4,
n.iter = 10000,
n.burnin = 5000
)
print(fit)
fit$BUGSoutput$summary
R2WinBUGS (Windows)
library(R2WinBUGS)
fit <- bugs(
data = bugs.data,
inits = bugs.inits,
parameters.to.save = bugs.params,
model.file = "model.txt",
n.chains = 3,
n.iter = 10000,
bugs.directory = "C:/WinBUGS14/"
)
Key Differences from Stan
| Feature | BUGS/JAGS | Stan |
|---|---|---|
| Normal | dnorm(mu, tau) precision | normal(mu, sigma) SD |
| MVN | dmnorm(mu, Omega) precision | multi_normal(mu, Sigma) cov |
| Syntax | Declarative (DAG) | Imperative (sequential) |
| Blocks | Single model{} | 7 optional blocks |
| Sampling | Gibbs + Metropolis | HMC/NUTS |
| Discrete | Direct sampling | Marginalization required |
Common Errors
- Using SD instead of precision:
dnorm(0, 1)means variance=1, NOT SD=1 - Wrong binomial order:
dbin(p, n)notdbin(n, p) - Missing initial values: Provide inits for complex models
- Invalid parent values: Check for NA/NaN in data
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